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Post Mortem: Election 2016
were voters thinking?
A study by the Voter Study Group
questioned a fixed group of 8000 voters over a more than four-year
period from before the 2012 election until after the 2016
election. The study looks at attitude shifts, party and
intra-party divisions & directions.
The study looked at voters in
two dimensions; social and fiscal, dividing voters into four
groups: Populists who are fiscally liberal but socially
conservative, Conservatives who are both fiscally and
socially conservative, Libertarians who are socially
liberal but fiscally conservative and Liberals who are
liberal socially and fiscally. The chart below was derived from
the study, as was the table that follows.
Clinton 44%, Trump
43% & Other 13%
The study notes “Clinton
won only 83.4 percent of liberals, while Trump won 6.3 percent of
liberals. By contrast, Trump won 90.2 percent of conservatives,
and Clinton won almost no conservatives.” Populists a major
deciding factor voted for Trump with19% vs. Clinton at 4%. Social
issues trumped fiscal issues for Populists (pun intended),
clumping close to the “don’t care” middle on the fiscal axis while
clumping high on the conservative side for social issues.
Strongest attitudes are furthest from the vertex, caring less
closer to the vertex.
Partisan agreement & disagreement
Politics is a rigged game
stronger for Clinton
Social security is
stronger for Clinton
Foreign trade important
stronger for Trump voters
stronger for Clinton
Pride in America
stronger for Trump voters
“people like me” in
stronger for Trump voters
Attitudes toward Black
people, Muslims, immigration
for all 3 questions
Bernie Sanders Populist factor
Did enough Bernie Sanders supporters vote
for Trump to cost Clinton the election? the Washington
Post reports that several polls indicate that between 6 and 12% of
voters who voted for Bernie Sanders in the primary later voted for
Trump in November. Many Sanders supporters voted for third party
candidates in November. There are no polls indicating how many
Clinton supporters who voted for her in the primaries would have
voted for Trump over Sanders in November. A better title for the
report is “Could Bernie have won if he had the nomination?”
Many Populists might have
voted for Sanders, because they trusted him on fiscal issues. Many
Populists voted for Trump because they disliked more and
distrusted Clinton more than Trump. Neither Clinton nor Sanders
would have many Conservative votes while the Libertarians are
split and few. Clinton is very solid amongst Liberals, but Voter
Study Group report says ”Clinton
won only 83.4 percent of liberals, while Trump won 6.3 percent of
liberals. By contrast, Trump won 90.2 percent of conservatives,
and Clinton won almost no conservatives.” Although Clinton won the
popular vote, Populists delivered the Electoral College win for
Trump. Conservative social issues outweighed liberal fiscal
concerns for Populists.
counted on the 73% of voters inclined to a liberal fiscal agenda
for a win in November, while not understanding how angry voters
were about their social agenda indicated by the large red clump
near the top-center of the chart. Trump’s strategy was to
enflame social conservative feeling so they became more important
than any liberal fiscal concerns. Democrats had not delivered on
the liberal fiscal agenda anyway, so Trump promised jobs and
prosperity just as Clinton & Sanders did, reducing the importance
of a liberal fiscal agenda. Voters were split on who would deliver
jobs & prosperity.
by Gordon Miller
Peter Thiel, quoted in an Alternet
"declared that he
no longer believed that 'freedom and democracy are compatible' and
lamented the extension of voting rights to women because they tend
to not lean libertarian."
This implies two
things about how some of our betters look upon freedom and
libertarianism. First - freedom for some like Thiel and Koch is
economic freedom and democracy is expendable because it gets in
the way of their economic freedom. Economic freedom, as revealed
in the Koch-Buchanan letters, is the aight of the rich to do
whatever they want to with their property as espoused by John C.
Calhoun back in the days of slavery. And libertarianism only
applies to economic freedom. Forget about the Bill of Rights
(except for the Second Amendment so long as white males are the
ones packing heat). Thiel’s libertarianism is merciless, in the
Calhoun tradition, so women may be put off by it.
Also note Governor
Andrew Cuomo (“D” - NY) is associated with a miscreant
billionaire. This unfortunate marriage was consecrated by the 1976
Buckley v. Valeo decision that declared that campaign
contributions count as speech protected by the First Amendment.
Many admire the
rich and are ready to give rich people a free pass, but some rich
guys are like Thiel and Koch. Some are dangerous and NOT to be
How to make money legally with fraud & identity theft
If you own a legitimate business, like a bank, your
customers sign an agreement saying they will submit any disputes with
your business to arbitration – all
in the fine print. Once
the customer signs the agreement, your company can use the customers
account information to incur expenses to the customer without their
caught the dispute goes into arbitration. Sounds
like someone might get caught.
Fargo revealed that the originally estimated 2.1 million unwanted
accounts it opened without consent may have been a low number. Source
than 400,000 people who took out car loans from Wells Fargo were
charged for auto insurance they did not need, and some of them are
still paying for it, according to an internal report prepared for the
bank’s executives. Source.
Customers who already had car insurance say they had no
idea they were being charged for this insurance from Wells Fargo. And
the bank acknowledges that tens of thousands of people wound up in
default, which affected people's credit scores, and thousands had
their cars repossessed. Full
Fargo has asked a Federal District Court to order dozens of customers
who are suing the bank over the opening of unauthorized accounts to
resolve their disputes in private arbitrations instead of court,
according to legal documents. Source
SB 33 is a bill
before the California legislature that prevents financial institutions
from using the arbitration defense in cases where the financial
institution used fraud & identity theft to rip off customers. The
Alameda County Democratic Party Central Committee voted to support SB
Fargo Identity Theft Racket Inspired SB 33 (Dodd): Justice for Victims
The Consumer Federation of California is co-sponsoring legislation by
State Senator Bill Dodd (D-Napa) inspired by Wells Fargo’s fraudulent
creation of two million customer accounts. Senate Bill 33 will make
sure that in the future, victims of banking fraud and identity theft
are not forced to give up their right to bring a case for damages to
court. High ranking Wells Fargo executives masterminded this criminal
enterprise, which began as far back as 15 years ago. Source
When a case goes into arbitration a private judge or lawyer decides
damages and may award a small percentage of the real damages. Forced
arbitration can prevent class action suits. The
arbitration case frequently is out of the public view and results may
be kept secret as part of the agreement. The
Return On Investment for this fraudulent business model is rather
high, but the barriers to entry are higher, you need to be too big to
fail and too rich to jail. Amorality
July 27, 2017
Better Deal = Not
as bad as the last deal
Perez Chair of the Democratic National Committee, leaders Nancy Pelosi
& Chuck Schumer 8 months after the election did a post mortem and
decided to rebrand the Democratic Party. Pelosi put a
web page (left) to explain the Better
Deal. Schumer wrote an
Op-Ed for the NY Times A Better
Deal for American Workers while Perez brought the message to the
PBS Newshour audience.
The Better Deal is an insult to
our intelligence. It assumes that voters will believe Democrats can
deliver while not making basic changes to the political structure and
the party structure. Better deal assumes voters will cast their vote
for whichever party they believe can deliver economic promises. The
system is rigged and no matter who is doing the dealing, winners are
determined beforehand. The Democratic Party should stand for
Democracy, Justice and countering Climate Chaos.
Democracy happens when every vote
is counted as cast and government acts for the people and only in our
best interests. Justice is when every citizen is treated with dignity
and is assured human rights like; healthcare, fair criminal justice,
economic opportunity, freedom to love... Countering climate chaos is
urgent and important but is hampered by the influence of money in
politics. Until the money is out there will only be promises of Not
as bad deals. If the Democratic Party is not just rebranded but
actually becomes the party of the grassroots and not dependent on Wall
Street’s money, then the country might return the deck to the
Democrats for a deal from an unmarked deck, WE DEAL.
Democratic Party leaders claim
they have our backs, but in 2008 when Democrats were doing the
dealing, the best they could do was Obamacare with the insurance
companies at the table writing the legislation. In 2008 Wall Street
bankers drove the world economy off a cliff, the Democratic
Administration could have prosecuted the bankers to insure this kind
of behavior will not happen again. The banks were too big to fail and
the bankers too rich to jail – under the Democrats.
Today the Democrats are fractured
at the intersection of Wall Street & Main Street, Fix Obamacare &
Single Payer. The party not only needs a better slogan it needs some
serious mission counseling.
Crosscheck list – another narrative
Last summer the major progressive
media, MSNBC, CNN, NY Times, Washington Post and others carried
stories about Kansas Secretary Of State Kris Korbeck’s Interstate
Crosscheck list. Names of those on the Interstate Crosscheck list,
Korbeck alleges vote in more than one state. Korbeck distributed the
list to 33 Secretaries Of State, so that they can remove their voter
rolls of the names on the list.
Greg Palast: Cross Check- Motherlode of Vote
Purge Scams to see how Crosscheck worked to steal the
While removing the names the
Secretaries Of State ignored the middle initials and social security
numbers. They removed all those named on the list, which just happen
to be typical Black, Latino & Asian names. When the removed voter came
to the poll to vote they were told they are not registered and were
given provisional ballots. When those ballots were checked and the
names not found on the rolls, the ballots were tossed out. The voters
were not informed that they were cheated out of their votes. Possibly
millions of voters were cheated this way. Since Black, Latino & Asian
voters are highly likely to vote for Democrats, the Interstate
Crosscheck list cost the Democrats the election last November and more
recently in Georgia.
WHY IS THIS STORY INVISIBLE SINCE
NOVEMBER IN THE PROGRESSIVE MEDIA.
The Russia/Trump narrative is that
Putin stole the election for Trump, the Interstate Crosscheck list is
a competing narrative. It is probable that both narratives are true,
both are complex and can be confusing.
VP Pence & Korbeck have been named to
the Voter Intergity Commission by Trump to federalize the Interstate
Crosscheck list. That is why Korbeck requested the voter rolls from
Secretaries Of State. Many states including California have turned
down the request
June 26, 2017
UNbalanced: Confessions of a 14-Year Fox News Hitman
Tobin Smith tells how Roger Ailes & Fox News Got Rich Scamming
America’s La Z Boy Cowboys and Selling Out America’s Soul
Alles: I created a TV network for people 55 to dead,”
Tobin: “What does our viewer look like?
Alles: “They look like me…white guys in mostly Red State counties who
sit on their couch with the remote in their hand all day and night.”
Tobin: “What do they want to see”
Alles: “They want to see YOU tear those smug condescending
know-it-all East Coast liberals to pieces . . limb by limb . . . until
they jump up out of their LaZ boy and scream “Way to go Toby…you
KILLED that libtard!”
Russia and a Shadowy Business Partnership
An insider describes the Bayrock Group, its links to the Trump family
and its mysterious access to funds. It isn't pretty.
Bloomberg News published a
report by by Timothy L. O'Brien on June 21, 2017
that connects many dots between Trump and the Russians that goes back
to when Trump was close to bankrupt due to his casino mishaps. US
banks would not loan him money because his credit was awful and his
reputation for stiffing banks. At the same time the Russian oligarchs
were flush with plundered cash with a need to lauder and stash it.
Trump through BayRock Group, a real estate organization was able to
get Russian money for various real estate deals.
Trump and the oligarchs
is a 45 minute film that tells O’Brien’s story. 22
minutes into the film Congressman Eric Swalwell asks fired FBI
Director James Comey if Felix Slater was part of the investigation of
Russia’s ties to the election. Comey said he could not comment. Slater
was a principal in Bayrock.
It may turn out that a paranoid dream about Trump being the head of a
world wide crime organization may be true.
Several political predictions:
Dan Rink – Dems take back the
house with a modest margin. Dems pick up 8 to 10 senators. House votes
impeachment proceedings. Trump resigns – declaring victory in
reshaping government. Republicans with Koch Brothers and Chamber of
Commerce announce a major political & governmental reform initiative
with a corporate & billionaire dominated commission. Dems still
struggle to get there act together on a vision & strategy for 2018 and
finding a strong candidate for 2020.
Pat Scofield – Trump will keep
fighting and never resign.
Alan Nakisher – Democrats win
house in 2018 & within 60 days Trump resigns.
Sharon Goldberg – More Crisis.
Trump will be effected by the Russia investigation. He & his staff are
Ellis Goldberg – Optimystic
Predictions – ( I can spell optimistic)
Trump is found to
head a world wide crime family resulting in a crackdown on worldwide
is found to be corrupted due to conspiracies including
Interstate Crosscheck lists
resulting legislation preventing voter suppression and tampering, as
well as campaign funding by non-US citizens.
of the legislative process results in constitutional changes that bar
any corporate funding for political purposes with criminal penalties.
health (don’t) care law causes major legislative loses for the party.
disasters force universal recognition of human caused climate chaos.
Eloise Hamann – I have no clue.
When one amazing awful thing after another happens, how can one
predict the next or occassioanl positive thing?
Michael Karsh – Just as the Jews
escaped the Pharaoh, we will escape corporate personhood & money is
speech by 2025. This year we will get a senator to introduce HJR 48
the We the People Ammendment in the senate. We will get 5 senators to
co-sponsor and 5 states requesting a constitutional convention if
congress does not pas HJR 48.
Paul Karsh – Chief Orange hair
will resign before the end of his term.
Beverley Berman – The wonderful
state fo California will carefully consider independence, single payer
healthcare, if we don’t get rid of Trump before his term is up. I
predict he will be impeached, but will resign before he is removed.
Submit your predictions
June 2, 2017
Doing things ON PURPOSE
a double-edged sword; guiding towards fulfillment and questioning
actions to determine if they move towards fulfillment of purpose.
Many avoid defining purpose or publicly stating it to avoid judgment
of outcomes. Defining political purpose allows planning of
strategies, objectives and tactics. Political purpose brings people
together when they buy into a common purpose and work toward achieving
years election many decided to organize political groups because they
were shaken out of complacency. Some did not appreciate the
importance of defining & agreeing on purpose as the first step in
organizing any movement. Instead of defining purpose many
demonstrated in opposition to what they did not want to happen. The
things we do not want grows daily and are overwhelming, so finding a
clear purpose is the great challenge & an necessity. .
To find your personal purpose
requires looking deep inside, writing down what you found, refining
it, looking at it daily, memorizing it and living it. In
Life on Purpose: 15 Questions to Discover Your Personal Mission by
Tina Su published in happiness, motivation she says:
A personal mission consists of 3 parts:
I want to do?
Who do I
want to help? What is the result? What value will I create?
Manson says in
7 STRANGE QUESTIONS THAT HELP YOU FIND YOUR LIFE PURPOSE “What
should I do with my life?” or “What is my life purpose?” what they’re
actually asking is: “What can I do with my time that is important?”–
the questions include:
WHAT’S YOUR FAVORITE FLAVOR OF SHIT SANDWICH AND DOES IT COME WITH AN
2. WHAT IS TRUE ABOUT YOU TODAY THAT WOULD MAKE YOUR 8-YEAR-OLD SELF
3. WHAT MAKES YOU FORGET TO EAT AND POOP?
4. HOW CAN YOU BETTER EMBARRASS YOURSELF?
5. HOW ARE YOU GOING TO SAVE THE WORLD?
6. GUN TO YOUR HEAD, IF YOU HAD TO LEAVE THE HOUSE ALL DAY, EVERY DAY,
WHERE WOULD YOU GO AND WHAT WOULD YOU DO?
7. IF YOU KNEW YOU WERE GOING TO DIE ONE YEAR FROM TODAY, WHAT WOULD
YOU DO AND HOW WOULD YOU WANT TO BE REMEMBERED?
6 Keys to Finding Your Purpose, Solve the mystery of what you're meant
to do with your life, Dr. Susan Biali, M.D identifies the 6 Es
1) Elusive -
your purpose will slowly emerge
2) Evolving - sense of purpose will evolve and change.
3) Emerges - experience or purpose is calling to you - Give it a
4) Exactly perfectly timed - If you’ve got a dream and your heart
still beats with it, even though nothing seems to be happening, keep
at it and don’t let go
5) Eminently - qualified life considered you qualified for this
Enjoyable Adventure - Don’t get too stressed about this or put too
much pressure on yourself about clarifying your purpose. Your purpose
might indeed be something grand and complicated, or it may be as
simple as dispensing love and kindness wherever you go. Remember to be
present in the moment, and delight in watching it all unfold. Life
really is beautiful.
Computer Network Rules the Planet
the age of black & white Sci-Fi films & the Twilight Zone series two
giant computers took over the world demanding that they be connected
to each other. Today the network is the internet, telephones, cable
TV, content providers, social media, spies, crooks and YOU. The
network began with radio, which at the time seemed to be free as air
and water – none of that was actually free. The price for radio &
newspapers before that was advertising. Today advertising is the cost
for being connected to the network. Additional costs include;
democracy, health, privacy, social interactions and productivity.
Although the advantages of the network are vast, the point of
diminishing returns may have been reached, when advantages are out
weighed by the costs.
With the availability of information growing exponentially it has
become more difficult rather than easier to discern truth from opinion
or fake news. The network has become a political playing field where
twisting messages and media manipulation have become art forms, with
– A worker can produce more with two hands than with one. Smart
phones have rendered much of the workforce one handed and distracted.
Pedestrians are hurt or killed in traffic because of the distraction
of the smart phone. Squeezing in a little more smartphone work cuts
into restful sleep and makes you more prone to mistakes and zaps
energy according to a study at Michigan State University in
Apps for cell phones are designed to addict, it is called
brain hacking: programming methods that hijack peoples' minds to form
a habit by using design techniques embedded in the products to make
smartphones so appealing that you will use them, and other devices,
more often. People check smartphones compulsively and that causes
anxiety particularly if there was no call or a call was missed. An
overload of cortisol caused by anxiety poses a health risk. While we
need cortisol, as it has many functions, elevated levels interfere
with learning and memory, lower immune function and bone density,
increase weight gain, blood pressure, cholesterol, and odds of heart
disease. It also increases risk for depression and lowers life
Inc.com explains how it works
Social interaction -
Communication is 57%
body language, 35% tone & 8% words. Texting and email are at best ˝
as effective since they are essentially one way communication modes as
compared to online chatting which is 2 way. The best communication is
face to face, but today we rely on less effective modes more than
ever. When a face to face conversation is about to occur and one
party takes out their smartphone the conversation is trivialized
because it can be interrupted by whoever happens to call, text, email
or sends an alert to the phone. Parents picking up their kids at
school with a phone embedded in their hand similarly trivialize the
conversation with their kids. The
University of Derby found smartphone users in study spent an
average of 3.6 hours a day on devices, often causing severe
distraction from relationships and ‘real life’ while making them
The intelligence community knows lots about our communications except
maybe face to face private conversations.. Search engines, internet
service providers and various smart devices like smart TVs sell
personal information to marketing databases; who in turn mine it for
great profit. There are not any safeguards that prevent your private
information from being misused to harm you or to shape election
results. We are in the middle of a cyber combat zone, with hacking,
phishing and network shutdowns in an age when we are dependent on
technology in so many ways.
network exists and we are part of it,
we can try to make it work for us or we work for it.
May 4 2017
The best democracy money can buy
review of the
Greg Palast 2016 film (made before the election)
presents one answer to the question: How did the 2016 election
happen? The simple answer – Voter suppression. The more complex
answer has to do with a a document called the CROSSCHECK LIST created
by the Kansas Secretary of State with the encouragement of the Koch
Brothers. Palast plays detective – only he is not playing – as he
unravels how CROSSCHECK was used to steal the 2016 election.
When Donald Trump claimed, "the election's going to be rigged," he
wasn't entirely wrong. But the threat was not, as Trump warned, from
Americans committing the crime of "voting many, many times." What's
far more likely to undermine democracy in November is the culmination
of a decade-long Republican effort to disenfranchise voters under the
guise of battling voter fraud. The latest tool: Election officials in
more than two dozen states have compiled lists of citizens whom they
allege could be registered in more than one state – thus potentially
able to cast multiple ballots – and eligible to be purged from the
Millions of voters with names predominant in black, latino and asian
communities were purged from voter rolls because they were suspected
of voting in more than one state. The Secretary of State can make
purges without notifying the purged voter.
Watch Palast explain how.
A second answer to
the question: How did the 2016 election happen?
Hillary Clinton offered other reasons for the 2016 election results
saying she was “on the way to winning” until two things happened: FBI
director James Comey released a letter saying the agency was reopening
its investigation into her use of a private email server as secretary
of state and WikiLeaks published hacked campaign emails.
Watch her explain in an article Hillary Clinton: I’m ‘part
of the resistance’
A third answer:
Shattered, How Clinton’s Campaign Went Off the Rails
Jonathan Allen covers the White House and the 2016 presidential
campaign for Bloomberg News just published a new book
Shattered, How Clinton’s Campaign Went Off the Rails. Allen was granted access to the Clinton
campaign on the condition that he not write about it until after the
election. He insightfully tells the story of a campaign full of
swerves and fast curves, where the possibility of her losing were not
on the radar.
Listen to Allen’s answer’s
as to why the 2016 election happened in an interview by Mitch Jeserich
on KPFA’s Letters & Politics. He says after losing to Barack Obama in
2008 she went through the emails of her campaign staff to find out
what went wrong. She decided that a private server was needed to
maintain campaign security. Allen also points at a management style
that discouraged criticism, making staffers too wary to point out
errors or missteps, such as not campaigning in critical swing states.
April 27 2017
School Choice is No Choice
By Anita Johnson –
PLUS Education Editor
Notes from Education
Forum hosted by LaMorinda Democratic Club
On April 13th, the LaMorinda
Democratic Club hosted an Education Forum. The panelists agreed that
schools in California are seriously underfunded. Privatization
advocates are using problems caused by underfunding to justify charter
schools. Because charter schools are not accountable to the public,
this trend is undermining our democracy and our children’s futures. A
very promising source of additional funding for school is corporate
property tax reform.
Superintendent Tom Torlakson spoke followed by
four panelists including
Congressman Mark DeSaulnier, Acalanes School Board Member Craig
Cheslog, Daniel Hagen from
and Kim Davis from
Parents United for Public Schools.
FULL ACCOUNT of this important discussion.
Remains of Civilization
The super moon is still beautiful
It does not know.
A baby's coo still delights a roomful
She does not know.
The birds warble unaware.
The fox slinks unknowing to its lair
The fall color of leaves lingers longer
Not knowing why.
We still hold our loved ones dear
Even more intently out of fear
We fight to distract ourselves from truth
Knowledge is painful, pity the youth.
Ignorance bleated and then elected
A man by decent people not respected
His groping crudity and lack of worth
Is nothing compared to the demise of Mother Earth.
Eloise Hamann wrote this near the time of the
November super moon after the election
Jerry Brown -
April 7, 1938
vs Diane Feinstein -
June 22, 1933
Diane Feinstein has pretty much declared her candidacy for the senate
seat she has held since 1992. There is only one political personality
in California capable of taking the Democratic nomination and the seat
from her, the governor. Nobody is better suited to take on Trump head
on than Jerry Brown.
Brown polled well recently. Many progressives are looking for
a younger replacement for Feinstein. Brown looked young and tough
last week -
In some of his harshest words to date against President Donald Trump
and congressional Republicans, Gov. Jerry Brown on Thursday rallied a
ballroom full of climate policy wonks and activists, telling them to
ignore the “Alice in Wonderland” scene in Washington and continue
fighting climate change. But he stressed that the battle against
global warming will be a long, difficult road.“Stopping carbon will be
like stopping a heroin addiction,” Brown said in a keynote speech at
the Navigating the American Carbon World conference in SF.
Full SJ Mercury Story
Corporations do not have constitutional rights
Money is not speech
money in politics is a cancer on democracy, with a cure in sight.
House Joint Amendment 48 is the constitutional amendment that would
overturn Citizen United and Buckley v Valeo, the two Supreme Court
rulings that unleashed vast sums of money into the political system
corrupting the electoral process and influencing actions on all levels
35 members of congress are co-sponsoring
HJR 48 including local congress members Barbara Lee, Jared Huffman and
Ro Khanna. 2/3 of the congress, 2/3 of the senate and 3/4 of the
state legislators would have to ratify the same ammendment for
constitutional change. An alternative method of changing the
constitution is through a convention. The threat of such a convention
moved the passage of the amendment that gave women the right to vote.
What does ISIS want?
group's ultimate ambition is a global caliphate won through a
between the US &
allies and Russia, Iran, Syria & there allies. With no air force,
navy, ISIS relies on captured artillery and vehicles. ISIS mostly
relies on jujitsu and trickery to create confrontations.
ISIS’ strategy is to help elect and promote nationalistic alt-right
candidates who are blatantly anti-Muslim, causing resentment and fear
in the not-yet radicalized Muslim communities. Terrorist attacks like
the one in Paris drive voters toward the nationalistic candidates, who
in turn take actions that help ISIS recruit new terrorists. French
voters moved toward LePen because of the attack. Nationalists like
Trump and LePen are ISIS recruiters playing into their hands.
What does ISIS really want at CNN.com
Is alchemy another word for Political Science?
Earth Day 2017 there were hundreds of March for Science events round
the world. Although elected officials were at the events in Walnut
Creek & Livermore, there was not a whisper about political science or
anyone claiming to be a political scientist. At Livermore no one
mentioned atomic bombs, they talked about the labs protecting the
country. The scientists bragged about positive achievements in
medicine, energy, electronic gadgetry, labor saving devices and
safety. Political science has its great achievements too, like
government, democracy and justice. And political science has its
failures: war, WMDs, climate chaos, dictators, genocide, refugees,
Political Science is really alchemy, turning poop into POTUS.
A weapon of democratic destruction using big political data to help
campaigns micro-target voters for desired results is a recent
political science & technology breakthrough.
Cambridge Analytica is a major purveyor of big political data with
5000 data points on 220 million Americans (watch
on CBS). The company owned by the Mercers, one of the Trump
campaign’s largest donors. According to
Wikipedia the Trump campaign spent $15M with the UK company.
The Mercers’ company might have been more of an election year game
changer than Vladmir Putin.
RESISTANCEMANUAL.ORG is a game changing positive breakthrough - a
grassroots weapon of mass resistance created by activist political
scientists based on the belief that “Action begins with information.
There are more of us who believe in equity and justice than those who
support Donald Trump's ideology of fear and hate. Together, we can
harness the collective power of the people to resist the impact of a
Trump presidency and to continue to make progress in our
communities.” The wiki-style website has political information on
the state, local, national and international levels. It tracks
legislation, legislators, voting records, sponsorship of bills, and
recommended actions you can take. It is your political Swiss army
knife. They are looking for help creating new knife blades.
As soon as you
concede there is an elephant in the room,
you have to start cleaning up the poop.
Vermont’s former governor Madeleine May Kunin
thanks Trump for getting us off the couch and creating an activist
Democracy Now interview of the pioneering politician & former
April 12 2017
The Art Of The
Pickpockets work in teams that distract and pick. Similarly magicians
distract to draw attention away from what they are really up to. The
Trump team uses distractions to move its real agenda. Kellyanne Conway
hawking Ivanka brand clothes was clearly a distraction that used up the
media oxygen for a couple of news cycles. Sean Spicer saying that no one
not even Hitler used poison gas – forgetting the holocaust and napalm in
Vietnam – was also a distraction. Trump’s tweets are distractions. The
world wonders what the Trump agenda really is.
It is estimated
that 400,000 people have been killed in the 6 year Syrian war. Over 180
people killed each day on average is horrific. Trump concluded within 3
days that Assad killed 86 people with poison gas then Trump retaliated by
killing 14 more people. Trump got his information from the slam-dunk
team that got us in so much trouble with the WMD slam-dunk in Iraq.
The Russians claim ISIS had the gas in a storage area that was
inadvertently bombed, releasing the gas. 90 minutes before retaliating
Trump alerted the Russians who told the Syrians the missiles were coming,
the 14 people killed may not have been told.
A week before the
April 4th poison gas killings Trump was saying his primary
fight was with ISIS and he would leave Assad in place. What could have
been Assad’s motivation to switch to chemicals from barrel bombs, which
kill, really well? Why would Putin allow it to happen?
MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell theorized that the attack was the result of
a calculated move by Vladimir Putin to deflect attention from the mounting
scandal that has engulfed the Trump presidency since the Kremlin’s hack of
the 2016 election; a scandal bolstered by continuing news reports on the
metastasizing body of evidence that some of his surrogates may have been
in on it.
Consider the 72
hour response by Trump; shooting 59 missiles at the place where the gas
attack was launched, how did he know he was not going to hit a poison gas
depot? If US Intelligence knew which buildings housed poison gas and
avoided them – why did not the US ask Putin to get the poison gas out of
there before it was used, per the treaty? Half the US missiles missed
their targets, but hit something else accidentally; the missile strike
could have hit a poison gas storage area.
In a swerve Eric
Trump, the son said “the
Syria Strike Proves My Dad Has No Russia Ties” (no ties with hammer
and sickle) he also claims his sister Ivanka convinced their dad to
bomb Syria in retaliation for the poison gas attack.
please punish Mr Assad, the pictures on TV really freaked out Jared
Is Eric just being mean to his
The American people
have come to expect swerves from Trump, but what about Chinese President
Xi, does he believe the swerves? China has been trying to lead the world
Golbalization Caucus, while Trump, LePen, Putin and alt right politicos in
Europe are the Nationalism Caucus. China has its own intelligence service
that may know what is really happening and what is swerve. The other
major player is ISIS, they would love to see Russia and the US in
confrontation, it is their only path to victory, and they too know how to
throw a swerve. It is possible that the gas was release by ISIS to
coincide with Syrian bombing.
Psychological concepts that explain the Trump era of politics
American politics can seem baffling. Psychology is here to help.
Click for full article on VOX.com
It is time to stop thinking of those we disagree with
politically as idiots. The concepts that follow will help us understand
why there is disagreement and why we have to respect others motives before
we can have a meaningful conversation with them.
rooting for a team changes your perception of the world.
Root, root, root for
the home team if they don’t win it is a shame
Motivated reasoning is the reason your “judgment calls” favor your
favorite team, party or candidate.
People who are
the most well informed about politics are often the most
stubborn about it.
left us with an “immune system” for uncomfortable thoughts.
that’s most convincing to you is not convincing to your
Many people seem
unashamed of their prejudices
has a powerful influence on political opinion
that protect against prejudice can change in the blink of an eye.
is a personality trait correlated with fearing outsiders and supporting
strong, punitive leaders. Trump tapped into authoritarian concerns, which
helped form his political base.
a personality trait similar to authoritarianism. Collective narcissists
are a group of people who desperately need their group to be admired and
validated by others. Collectively narcissistic Americans would feel the
need for America to be revered the world over. They would need America “to
win.” The political benefits of a narcissistic personality: Trump may not
have a personality disorder, but he does have narcissistic tendencies.
Studies find narcissists are good at obtaining power, but tend to be
impulsive and self-defeating when they obtain it. Also: Scientists find
that obtaining positions of power magnifies personality traits like
narcissism. With power, people are freer to be their authentic selves.
A Democrat on the
House panel investigating Donald Trump’s ties to Russia is issuing an
ultimatum: If the president is going to accuse members of the Obama
administration of breaking the law, he should prove it.
“If the president wants
to say that Susan Rice committed a crime, he has the power to declassify.
No one else does,” Rep. Eric Swalwell of California said Wednesday. “So,
he could actually show us where the crime was. I don't expect he will,
because I think this is just more obstructionism.”
DeSaulnier Town Hall
February Congressman DeSaulnier hosted a political town hall in Concord to
discuss the new Administration and how we can work together to fight for
our progressive values and the rights of all Americans.
This is the slideshow that was presented at the town hall.
March 28 2017
Robert Reich identifies
four reasons Trump should be impeached for violation of the US
Constitution which Trump swore to uphold:
Constitution’s Foreign Emoluments Clause: China’s recent decision to grant
his trademark applications for the Trump brand — decisions Chinese
authorities arrived at directly because of decisions Trump has made as
president. He owns a number of investments that probably also violate the
religion: Muslim ban’
the press: Attacking the press.
Colluding with Russia during his presidential campaign.
The political will
required for both houses to vote to impeach him does not exist today but
as the evidence mounts and the public outrage builds it will may turn into
an untenable situation for Republicans. The question for Democrats is
impeachment worth the effort given Mike Pence.
Kris Welch on KPFA
To impeach, or not to impeach with author Norman Solomon & John
www.impeachdonaldtrumpnow.org which says “Anyone becoming
president in the wake of an historic impeachment and removal from office
of the sitting president based on massive corruption of the Oval Office
and defiance of the Constitution will be under even closer scrutiny to
follow the Constitution. It would crucially re-affirm the bedrock
principle that no one is above the law, not even the President of the
United States. The alternative of allowing President Trump to remain in
office while he continues to defy the Constitution and the rule of law is
unacceptable and extremely dangerous to the future of our republic.”
Norman Solomon argued
no one is above the law, especially the President. Trump cannot
get away with violating the constitution, loosing hard fought for ground
in terms of nullifying portions of the constitution is unacceptable.
Impeachment requires a congressional investigation and then a trial in the
senate. 2/3 in each house is required. When we get to the point Trump
leaves office, the Republicans will be divided between those who voted for
and against impeachment. A President Pence will be saddled with the Trump
legacy and a divided party. That sounds like a much better situation than
the current one.
Congressional Inquiry – first step toward impeachment
Watergate was a slow
process investigation with revelations and surprises all along the way.
The process not only undid Nixon but it changed public opinion. Similarly
today an investigation of the connections between Trump and Russia could
result in the demise of his brand of politics.
is on the Intelligence Committee investigating the Trump Russia
connections and has published publicly available intelligence called
CONNECTING THE TRUMP RUSSIA DOTS .which includes:
After FBI Director James
Comey revealed the existence of an investigation of the Trump Russia
relationships Eric Swalwell quizzed the director.
Watch Eric question Comey on C-Span (two segments at 3:17:30 & 3:39:30 of
a 5 hour video). Eric connects the dots in 11 minutes.o
Read the NY Times article
What to Ask About
by Louise Mensch to learn more about the relationships in the diagram and
the difficulties in dealing with FISA warrant obtained information. It is
illegal to reveal that a particular FISA warrant exists. If a witness
ws there was a FISA warrant to eavesdrop on Trump and his
campaign then revealing that would violate the law. The article says
“Witnesses cannot confirm or deny even the existence of a current national
security investigation.” If Trump knew about a FISA warrant and TWEETED
about being tapped, then he violated the law.
More from Ms Mensch
at Heat St
(on the day before the election) concerning a FISA warrant giving
counter-intelligence permission to examine the activities
of ‘U.S. persons’ in Donald Trump’s campaign with ties
to Russia. Ms Mensch works for Newscorp (Rupert Murdock) which owns Heat
congressional hearings will be like Watergate on steroids.